Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle
Staff Writer

The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Phoenix Suns to Target Center for Game 1 of their 1st-round best-of-7 series in the NBA Playoffs Saturday. Tip is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Suns vs. Timberwolvesodds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Regular season series: Suns lead 3-0

The Suns ended the regular season winning 3 straight games and improving their record to 49-33. They finished 35-45-2 against the spread (ATS). Phoenix was 5-3 ATS in its last 8 games and ended the season with a 19-21-1 ATS record on the road. The Suns are led by G Devin Booker, who is averaging 27.1 points per game.

Minnesota and Phoenix wrapped up their regular seasons with a meeting in Minneapolis Sunday, a 125-106 Suns win. The Timberwolves (56-26) failed to cover against Phoenix in all 3 regular-season meetings and was 41-41 ATS overall. It's led by the impressive play of G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Suns at Timberwolves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Timberwolves -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +1.5 (-108) | Timberwolves -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Timberwolves key injuries

Suns

  • None

Timberwolves

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Suns at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 110, Timberwolves 108

Moneyline

PASS.

While the plus-money option for Phoenix (+104) is enticing, the spread offer the better value here, and it is the preferred play.

Against the spread

BET SUNS +1.5 (-108).

The Suns have had the Wolves' number this season, beating them by double digits in every game. Phoenix has the talented scorers to make it difficult for Minnesota to keep pace.

The Suns won 6 of their last 8 down the stretch and were 5-3 ATS in those. They weren't healthy for most of the season but are starting to put it together late and should have a strong opening to this series.

The Wolves lost 3 of their last 6 and were 18-21-2 ATS at home, which isn't too impressive either. Considering all those trends, back SUNS +1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 214.5 (-110).

The Suns and Wolves are 2-1 O/U on the season in their 3 matchups, and in the lone Under, both teams shot under 45% from the field. These teams are too talented to continue shooting that poorly.

The Wolves had gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games, allowing at least 116 points in 4 of their last 5. Considering the high-level scorers the Suns have and the current form Minnesota is in, back OVER 214.5 (-110).

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